Gary Welsh over at Advance Indiana has already noted the Star article in today's edition, byline by Tom Spalding. At least Tom read the Forbes list before just publishing the Mayor's press release which the Star has posted on its website.
I went to the Forbes list and broke it down by 2008 violent crime rate alone, where Indianapolis metropolitan area comes in 30th of the 40 largest. Here is the ranking for that category:
Violent Crime Rank | Metro Area | MSA Population |
---|---|---|
1 | Portland-Vancouver-Beaverton, OR-WA | 2,207,462 |
2 | San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA | 1,819,198 |
3 | Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA | 3,344,813 |
4 | Austin-Round Rock, TX | 1,652,602 |
5 | Denver-Aurora, CO | 2,506,626 |
6 | Providence-New Bedford-Fall River, RI-MA | 1,596,611 |
7 | Pittsburgh, PA | 2,351,19 |
8 | Cincinnati-Middletown, OH-KY-IN | 2,155,137 |
9 | Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI | 3,229,878 |
10 | Boston-Cambridge-Quincy, MA-NH | 4,522,858 |
11 | New York-Northern New Jersey-Long Island, NY-NJ-PA | 19,006,798 |
12 | Columbus, OH | 1,773,120 |
13 | Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC | 1,658,292 |
14 | San Diego-Carlsbad-San Marcos, CA | 3,001,072 |
15 | Cleveland-Elyria-Mentor, OH | 2,088,291 |
16 | Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV | 5,358,130 |
17 | Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale, AZ | 4,281,899 |
18 | Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA | 4,115,871 |
19 | Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX | 6,300,006 |
20 | Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Marietta, GA | 5,376,285 |
21 | Los Angeles-Long Beach-Santa Ana, CA | 12,872,808 |
22 | Sacramento-Arden-Arcade-Roseville, CA | 2,109,832 |
23 | St. Louis, MO-IL | 2,816,710 |
24 | Milwaukee-Waukesha-West Allis, WI | 1,549,308 |
25 | San Antonio, TX | 2,031,445 |
26 | Chicago-Naperville-Joliet, IL-IN-WI | 9,569,624 |
27 | Kansas City, MO-KS | 2,002,047 |
28 | Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD | 5,838,471 |
29 | San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA | 4,274,531 |
30 | Indianapolis-Carmel, IN | 1,715,459 |
31 | Charlotte-Gastonia-Concord, NC-SC | 1,701,799 |
32 | Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL | 2,733,761 |
33 | Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown, TX | 5,728,143 |
34 | Baltimore-Towson, MD | 2,667,117 |
35 | Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL | 5,414,772 |
36 | Nashville-Davidson-Murfreesboro-Franklin, TN | 1,550,733 |
37 | Jacksonville, FL | 1,313,228 |
38 | Orlando-Kissimmee, FL | 2,054,574 |
39 | Las Vegas-Paradise, NV | 1,865,746 |
40 | Detroit-Warren-Livonia, MI | 4,425,110 |
I pulled down the 2008 FBI report on the number of violent crimes for a few rather random Cities across the US. Note the Forbes ranking is for Metropolitan areas, not just the major City in that area. Using the population data and the number of violent crimes, I calculated the number of violent crimes per 1000 people. All other numbers are from the FBI report. The cities are arranged alphabetically in the next table. If you'd like to peruse the entire list yourself it is found at : 2008 FBI Crime Statistics data set
City | Population | Violent crime | Violent crime per 1000 people |
Boston | 604,465 | 6,676 | 11.0 |
Detroit | 905,783 | 17,428 | 19.2 |
Indianapolis | 808,329 | 9,735 | 12.0 |
Los Angeles | 3,850,920 | 26,553 | 6.9 |
Miami | 427,740 | 5,709 | 13.3 |
New York | 8,345,075 | 48,430 | 5.8 |
Oakland | 401,587 | 7,905 | 19.2 |
Philadelphia | 1,441,117 | 20,771 | 14.4 |
San Francisco | 798,144 | 6,744 | 8.4 |
City | Murder and nonnegligent manslaughter | Forcible rape | Robbery | Aggravated assault |
Boston | 62 | 237 | 2,398 | 3,979 |
Detroit | 306 | 330 | 6,115 | 10,677 |
Indianapolis | 114 | 475 | 4,023 | 5,123 |
Los Angeles | 384 | 949 | 13,422 | 11,798 |
Miami | 63 | 42 | 2,415 | 3,189 |
New York | 523 | 890 | 22,186 | 24,831 |
Oakland | 115 | 338 | 3,323 | 4,129 |
Philadelphia | 331 | 1,038 | 9,618 | 9,784 |
San Francisco | 98 | 166 | 4,108 | 2,372 |
The FBI Uniform Crime Report does caution about comparing different cities crime rates as these are self-reported numbers. But, they are also the best information we have. In the Star article Robert Vane, spokesman for Mayor Ballard, reiterated the claim that the Indianapolis crime rate has dropped 6% since Ballard took over in January of 2008; but no details have been forthcoming. The FBI has not yet released its report for 2009, so we also have no benchmarks for comparisons.
At the end of the day, the Ballard administration's over eagerness to bathe itself in self-congratulations is an excuse for us to look at the success or failure of our City's crime prevention efforts through a broader lens than we normally do. It is of concern that we rank worst of the 40 largest metropolitan areas for deaths on the job. That should be a wake-up call. It is of concern that New York, San Francisco, Chicago, and Washington DC (of all places) metro areas are all 'safer' than the Indy area when it comes to violent crime. I guess the question is, does the Mayor look at crime the same way? Or is his administration cherry picking the statistics that show his efforts in their best light? Just like they were trying to do by celebrating our ranking on the Forbes list.